Making history: White deaths outnumber births for first time ever

by Ryan Streeter on June 13, 2013. Follow Ryan on Twitter.

Never before have deaths outnumbered births among whites in America – until last year.

Read about it here.

I’ve argued for awhile that the demographic shifts we’re living through make the case for entitlement reform pretty urgent. This is one of those shifts.

The drop looks like this:

Screen Shot 2013-06-13 at 8.49.52 AM

Here’s a good summary of the situation from the WSJ article:

[T]he Census numbers underscore a more powerful, long-term demographic shift. As the nation’s white population ages, there are fewer white women of childbearing age—a trend unlikely to change—and that results in fewer white children. At the same time, young adults, whether white, black or Hispanic, are having fewer children. America’s replacement level—how many children it takes to keep population constant as people die—is about 2.1 births per woman. The fertility rate of U.S. women is about 1.9 births.